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Red66
18110.1
107114.8
176827.0
Blue79
801322.2
740725.9
23620.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34650204060801006679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.03.1
18.421.4
Auto10.4
Teleop15.9
End0.8
red by 1.1
7407
#13
25.92.7
21.023.7
Auto9.7
Teleop11.8
End4.4
Second
1071
#23
14.83.5
9.312.8
Auto4.0
Teleop8.2
End2.6
blue by 7.4
22.22.7
18.721.4
Auto5.4
Teleop12.8
End4.0
Third
181
#31
10.13.5
6.610.1
Auto2.6
Teleop6.9
End0.6
blue by 10.6
236
#7
20.72.7
15.317.9
Auto7.8
Teleop7.5
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsEarned30%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed47%Ensemble oddsEarned