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Red70
769413.5
176827.0
78699.4
Blue36
49876.8
808522.4
712715.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514402060801007036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.02.2
21.423.7
Auto10.4
Teleop15.9
End0.8
red by 4.7
22.41.1
20.419.3
Auto6.7
Teleop13.2
End2.4
Second
7694
#22
13.52.8
13.916.7
Auto5.0
Teleop6.3
End2.2
blue by 1.4
7127
#19
15.01.1
10.79.7
Auto7.7
Teleop7.3
End-0.1
Third
7869
#26
9.42.8
9.612.4
Auto3.3
Teleop4.3
End1.8
red by 2.6
4987
#18
6.81.1
9.58.4
Auto0.5
Teleop4.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed