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Red39
346415.9
314614.9
51129.1
Blue16
77604.8
331420.7
78699.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374102060803916

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3464
#12
15.90.6
9.910.5
Auto4.3
Teleop9.7
End2.0
blue by 4.7
20.72.3
17.214.9
Auto9.1
Teleop8.8
End2.8
Second
3146
#16
14.90.5
15.916.5
Auto7.8
Teleop5.5
End1.6
red by 5.6
7869
#26
9.42.1
12.410.3
Auto3.3
Teleop4.3
End1.8
Third
5112
#32
9.10.5
7.98.4
Auto4.4
Teleop3.4
End1.2
red by 4.3
7760
#27
4.82.3
7.04.7
Auto1.2
Teleop1.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed