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Red22
49876.8
20646.6
22815.5
Blue67
17520.7
769413.5
57114.9
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295702040801002267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228
#24
15.50.8
15.214.4
Auto5.0
Teleop9.4
End1.1
blue by 5.2
175
#5
20.70.7
16.717.4
Auto10.0
Teleop10.4
End0.4
Second
4987
#18
6.80.8
8.47.6
Auto0.5
Teleop4.9
End1.3
blue by 8.1
571
#8
14.90.7
15.215.9
Auto2.3
Teleop11.7
End0.9
Third
2064
#29
6.60.8
6.35.5
Auto1.5
Teleop4.8
End0.3
blue by 6.9
7694
#22
13.50.7
16.717.4
Auto5.0
Teleop6.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed47%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsEarned