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Red57
740725.9
318218.3
77604.8
Blue61
457213.1
808522.4
23620.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425202060801005761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7407
#13
25.91.8
21.223.0
Auto9.7
Teleop11.8
End4.4
red by 3.6
22.41.0
19.320.3
Auto6.7
Teleop13.2
End2.4
Second
3182
#11
18.31.8
13.715.6
Auto6.1
Teleop10.2
End2.0
blue by 2.5
236
#7
20.71.0
17.618.7
Auto7.8
Teleop7.5
End5.4
Third
7760
#27
4.81.8
4.76.5
Auto1.2
Teleop1.7
End1.9
blue by 8.3
4572
#20
13.11.0
9.210.2
Auto3.9
Teleop8.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsEarned