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Red54
331420.7
801322.2
107114.8
Blue43
17723.3
21706.6
974.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions593620801005443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.21.2
20.519.3
Auto5.4
Teleop12.8
End4.0
blue by 1.1
177
#10
23.30.0
23.523.5
Auto11.8
Teleop10.5
End1.0
Second
20.71.2
14.913.7
Auto9.1
Teleop8.8
End2.8
red by 14.1
2170
#30
6.60.0
8.58.6
Auto3.8
Teleop2.7
End0.1
Third
1071
#23
14.81.2
15.013.9
Auto4.0
Teleop8.2
End2.6
red by 10.0
97
#28
4.90.0
3.63.6
Auto1.5
Teleop2.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed