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Red36
574610.0
634617.3
919312.5
Blue47
18110.1
174019.8
712715.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36421020305060703647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6346
#15
17.30.3
15.115.4
Auto5.6
Teleop10.2
End1.5
blue by 2.6
19.81.0
17.218.2
Auto8.1
Teleop9.7
End2.0
Second
9193
#14
12.50.3
9.69.9
Auto6.3
Teleop5.1
End1.1
blue by 2.5
7127
#19
15.01.0
9.710.7
Auto7.7
Teleop7.3
End-0.1
Third
5746
#25
10.00.3
8.38.6
Auto2.6
Teleop4.9
End2.5
blue by 0.1
181
#31
10.11.0
10.311.4
Auto2.6
Teleop6.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed