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Red56
919312.5
331420.7
17314.9
Blue31
18110.1
974.9
22815.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423110205060705631

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.71.8
13.715.5
Auto9.1
Teleop8.8
End2.8
red by 5.2
228
#24
15.50.2
14.414.5
Auto5.0
Teleop9.4
End1.1
Second
173
#21
14.91.8
13.315.2
Auto5.5
Teleop7.1
End2.3
red by 4.8
181
#31
10.10.2
11.411.5
Auto2.6
Teleop6.9
End0.6
Third
9193
#14
12.51.8
9.911.7
Auto6.3
Teleop5.1
End1.1
red by 7.6
97
#28
4.90.2
3.63.8
Auto1.5
Teleop2.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed