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Red60
17520.7
801322.2
318218.3
Blue49
174019.8
19919.2
176827.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58583040507080906049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.7
19.320.1
Auto5.4
Teleop12.8
End4.0
blue by 4.8
27.00.6
24.123.5
Auto10.4
Teleop15.9
End0.8
Second
175
#5
20.70.7
17.418.1
Auto10.0
Teleop10.4
End0.4
red by 0.9
19.80.8
18.217.4
Auto8.1
Teleop9.7
End2.0
Third
3182
#11
18.30.7
15.616.3
Auto6.1
Teleop10.2
End2.0
red by 9.1
1991
#17
9.20.8
10.49.6
Auto5.0
Teleop3.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsEarned63%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed