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Red38
20646.6
919312.5
174019.8
Blue71
19919.2
318218.3
331420.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364702060803871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.3
17.417.7
Auto8.1
Teleop9.7
End2.0
blue by 0.9
20.71.7
15.517.3
Auto9.1
Teleop8.8
End2.8
Second
9193
#14
12.50.3
11.712.1
Auto6.3
Teleop5.1
End1.1
blue by 5.8
3182
#11
18.31.7
16.318.0
Auto6.1
Teleop10.2
End2.0
Third
2064
#29
6.60.3
5.25.5
Auto1.5
Teleop4.8
End0.3
blue by 2.6
1991
#17
9.21.7
9.611.3
Auto5.0
Teleop3.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned