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Red44
23620.7
49876.8
17520.7
Blue28
78699.4
36344.7
314614.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48340102030406070804428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236
#7
20.70.4
18.317.9
Auto7.8
Teleop7.5
End5.4
red by 5.8
3146
#16
14.90.8
16.115.3
Auto7.8
Teleop5.5
End1.6
Second
175
#5
20.70.4
18.117.7
Auto10.0
Teleop10.4
End0.4
red by 11.3
7869
#26
9.40.8
10.69.7
Auto3.3
Teleop4.3
End1.8
Third
4987
#18
6.80.4
5.04.6
Auto0.5
Teleop4.9
End1.3
red by 2.1
3634
#33
4.70.8
5.74.8
Auto3.9
Teleop0.9
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
42%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed