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Red56
634617.3
457213.1
57114.9
Blue33
17723.3
36344.7
18110.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48391020306070805633

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6346
#15
17.30.9
15.816.8
Auto5.6
Teleop10.2
End1.5
blue by 6.0
177
#10
23.30.3
21.220.9
Auto11.8
Teleop10.5
End1.0
Second
571
#8
14.90.9
14.315.2
Auto2.3
Teleop11.7
End0.9
red by 4.8
181
#31
10.10.3
10.710.4
Auto2.6
Teleop6.9
End0.6
Third
4572
#20
13.10.9
12.513.4
Auto3.9
Teleop8.2
End1.0
red by 8.4
3634
#33
4.70.3
4.84.5
Auto3.9
Teleop0.9
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsEarned39%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed