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Red35
51129.1
78699.4
808522.4
Blue73
712715.0
919312.5
801322.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435102060803573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.40.4
22.522.1
Auto6.7
Teleop13.2
End2.4
red by 0.2
22.21.0
20.922.0
Auto5.4
Teleop12.8
End4.0
Second
7869
#26
9.40.4
9.79.3
Auto3.3
Teleop4.3
End1.8
blue by 5.6
7127
#19
15.01.0
12.213.2
Auto7.7
Teleop7.3
End-0.1
Third
5112
#32
9.10.4
7.67.2
Auto4.4
Teleop3.4
End1.2
blue by 3.4
9193
#14
12.51.0
12.113.1
Auto6.3
Teleop5.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed40%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned