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Red59
314614.9
174019.8
740725.9
Blue51
22815.5
21706.6
169924.8
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6947204060801001205951

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7407
#13
25.90.5
26.626.1
Auto9.7
Teleop11.8
End4.4
red by 1.1
24.80.5
23.924.4
Auto11.0
Teleop11.8
End2.1
Second
19.80.5
17.717.2
Auto8.1
Teleop9.7
End2.0
red by 4.3
228
#24
15.50.5
14.615.1
Auto5.0
Teleop9.4
End1.1
Third
3146
#16
14.90.5
15.314.8
Auto7.8
Teleop5.5
End1.6
red by 8.3
2170
#30
6.60.5
6.87.2
Auto3.8
Teleop2.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed