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Red33
974.9
49876.8
318218.3
Blue30
574610.0
77604.8
17520.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293701020506070803330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3182
#11
18.30.5
18.018.5
Auto6.1
Teleop10.2
End2.0
blue by 2.4
175
#5
20.70.2
17.717.5
Auto10.0
Teleop10.4
End0.4
Second
4987
#18
6.80.5
4.65.1
Auto0.5
Teleop4.9
End1.3
blue by 3.2
5746
#25
10.00.2
9.59.3
Auto2.6
Teleop4.9
End2.5
Third
97
#28
4.90.5
4.44.8
Auto1.5
Teleop2.3
End1.0
red by 0.1
7760
#27
4.80.2
5.25.0
Auto1.2
Teleop1.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsMissed