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Red48
107114.8
20646.6
808522.4
Blue82
23620.7
346415.9
174019.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4655204060801004882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.40.4
22.122.5
Auto6.7
Teleop13.2
End2.4
red by 1.6
236
#7
20.72.7
17.920.7
Auto7.8
Teleop7.5
End5.4
Second
1071
#23
14.80.5
14.915.3
Auto4.0
Teleop8.2
End2.6
blue by 5.0
19.82.5
17.219.7
Auto8.1
Teleop9.7
End2.0
Third
2064
#29
6.60.5
5.55.9
Auto1.5
Teleop4.8
End0.3
blue by 9.4
3464
#12
15.92.5
13.215.7
Auto4.3
Teleop9.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed