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Red35
974.9
23620.7
78699.4
Blue39
57114.9
919312.5
19919.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384302060803539

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236
#7
20.70.0
20.720.7
Auto7.8
Teleop7.5
End5.4
red by 5.9
571
#8
14.90.7
15.214.5
Auto2.3
Teleop11.7
End0.9
Second
7869
#26
9.40.0
9.39.4
Auto3.3
Teleop4.3
End1.8
blue by 3.1
9193
#14
12.50.7
13.112.4
Auto6.3
Teleop5.1
End1.1
Third
97
#28
4.90.0
4.84.9
Auto1.5
Teleop2.3
End1.0
blue by 4.3
1991
#17
9.20.7
10.09.3
Auto5.0
Teleop3.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed