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Red63
801322.2
17314.9
49876.8
Blue33
107114.8
318218.3
21706.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464525303540505560656333

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.21.6
22.023.6
Auto5.4
Teleop12.8
End4.0
red by 3.9
3182
#11
18.30.6
18.517.9
Auto6.1
Teleop10.2
End2.0
Second
173
#21
14.91.6
13.915.5
Auto5.5
Teleop7.1
End2.3
red by 0.1
1071
#23
14.80.6
15.314.7
Auto4.0
Teleop8.2
End2.6
Third
4987
#18
6.81.6
5.16.8
Auto0.5
Teleop4.9
End1.3
red by 0.1
2170
#30
6.60.6
7.26.6
Auto3.8
Teleop2.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed