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Red52
110828.7
235729.4
271814.9
Blue76
173027.4
512620.0
181012.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90760501502002503003504005276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.41.9
31.629.7
Auto11.4
Teleop13.3
End4.7
red by 2.1
1730
#15
27.40.0
34.734.8
Auto5.9
Teleop19.4
End2.1
Second
28.71.9
26.925.0
Auto11.6
Teleop15.1
End2.0
red by 8.7
20.00.0
22.022.1
Auto8.4
Teleop11.1
End0.5
Third
2718
#24
14.91.9
21.719.8
Auto6.6
Teleop7.3
End1.0
red by 2.3
1810
#29
12.60.0
13.913.9
Auto7.8
Teleop4.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
81%Melody oddsMissed71%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
52%Ensemble oddsMissed41%Ensemble oddsMissed