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Red43
176416.7
580126.3
182518.3
Blue47
234514.4
93523.9
509812.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions775201001504347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5801
#13
26.31.6
26.725.1
Auto7.9
Teleop17.2
End1.2
red by 2.4
935
#28
23.90.3
26.526.2
Auto10.3
Teleop11.6
End2.0
Second
1825
#11
18.31.6
19.217.7
Auto8.1
Teleop8.5
End1.6
red by 3.9
2345
#30
14.40.3
12.512.2
Auto7.3
Teleop6.8
End0.3
Third
1764
#25
16.71.6
20.719.1
Auto6.1
Teleop8.5
End2.0
red by 4.2
5098
#33
12.50.3
10.610.3
Auto3.3
Teleop8.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsMissed57%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed