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Red43
17759.1
44556.4
68434.9
Blue54
199712.9
99886.8
882516.2
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2144060801001201404354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1775
#22
9.10.7
7.78.4
Auto5.2
Teleop3.8
End0.2
blue by 7.1
8825
#38
16.20.4
15.816.2
Auto5.5
Teleop9.4
End1.3
Second
4455
#19
6.40.7
8.28.9
Auto3.3
Teleop1.2
End1.9
blue by 6.5
1997
#16
12.90.4
14.114.5
Auto7.1
Teleop5.1
End0.7
Third
6843
#35
4.90.7
6.16.8
Auto2.2
Teleop2.4
End0.3
blue by 1.9
9988
#36
6.80.7
6.06.7
Auto1.4
Teleop4.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned4%Ensemble oddsEarned