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Red30
512620.0
180211.6
17636.1
Blue54
271814.9
176914.6
173027.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40820501001502003054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.00.7
22.121.3
Auto8.4
Teleop11.1
End0.5
blue by 7.3
1730
#15
27.42.0
34.832.8
Auto5.9
Teleop19.4
End2.1
Second
1802
#18
11.60.7
10.19.4
Auto5.6
Teleop4.5
End1.5
blue by 3.3
2718
#24
14.92.0
19.817.8
Auto6.6
Teleop7.3
End1.0
Third
1763
#39
6.10.7
9.08.3
Auto3.0
Teleop2.0
End1.1
blue by 8.5
14.62.0
15.413.4
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed61%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsEarned