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Red49
545417.5
198622.8
193912.9
Blue62
235729.4
181012.6
955114.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions616801001502002504962

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#14
22.80.5
23.422.9
Auto7.7
Teleop12.4
End2.7
blue by 6.7
29.40.3
29.729.4
Auto11.4
Teleop13.3
End4.7
Second
5454
#23
17.50.5
18.017.5
Auto8.8
Teleop8.2
End0.5
red by 3.5
9551
#17
14.00.3
17.417.1
Auto5.2
Teleop8.0
End0.8
Third
1939
#34
12.90.5
14.814.4
Auto3.9
Teleop7.2
End1.7
red by 0.3
1810
#29
12.60.3
13.913.7
Auto7.8
Teleop4.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsMissed70%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed33%Ensemble oddsMissed