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Red69
110828.7
328423.4
49598.9
Blue38
392823.7
93168.4
59689.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions664601001506938

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.70.8
25.025.8
Auto11.6
Teleop15.1
End2.0
red by 5.0
23.70.4
22.922.5
Auto10.7
Teleop11.2
End1.9
Second
23.40.8
21.021.8
Auto7.5
Teleop15.0
End0.9
red by 14.0
5968
#40
9.40.4
11.511.1
Auto8.4
Teleop-0.1
End1.1
Third
4959
#37
8.90.8
11.312.1
Auto5.9
Teleop2.5
End0.5
red by 0.5
9316
#32
8.40.4
9.79.2
Auto4.5
Teleop3.7
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed