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Red50
44556.4
59689.4
93523.9
Blue74
180211.6
235729.4
392823.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48710204060801001201405074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
935
#28
23.90.2
26.226.5
Auto10.3
Teleop11.6
End2.0
blue by 5.5
29.40.7
29.430.1
Auto11.4
Teleop13.3
End4.7
Second
5968
#40
9.40.2
11.111.3
Auto8.4
Teleop-0.1
End1.1
blue by 14.3
23.70.7
22.523.2
Auto10.7
Teleop11.2
End1.9
Third
4455
#19
6.40.2
8.99.2
Auto3.3
Teleop1.2
End1.9
blue by 5.2
1802
#18
11.60.7
9.410.1
Auto5.6
Teleop4.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed65%Ensemble oddsEarned