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Red38
20012.6
17759.1
176914.6
Blue20
49598.9
955114.0
93168.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26450204060803820

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.60.1
13.413.5
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End1.4
red by 0.6
9551
#17
14.01.4
17.115.8
Auto5.2
Teleop8.0
End0.8
Second
1775
#22
9.10.1
8.48.5
Auto5.2
Teleop3.8
End0.2
red by 0.3
4959
#37
8.91.4
12.110.7
Auto5.9
Teleop2.5
End0.5
Third
2001
#42
2.60.1
4.14.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.0
End0.7
blue by 5.8
9316
#32
8.41.4
9.27.9
Auto4.5
Teleop3.7
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed