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Red56
17636.1
110828.7
198622.8
Blue84
198213.5
328423.4
545417.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions645601001505684

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.70.2
25.825.6
Auto11.6
Teleop15.1
End2.0
red by 5.3
23.40.5
21.822.3
Auto7.5
Teleop15.0
End0.9
Second
1986
#14
22.80.2
22.922.7
Auto7.7
Teleop12.4
End2.7
red by 5.3
5454
#23
17.50.5
17.518.0
Auto8.8
Teleop8.2
End0.5
Third
1763
#39
6.10.2
8.38.1
Auto3.0
Teleop2.0
End1.1
blue by 7.3
13.50.5
12.613.1
Auto5.1
Teleop7.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned30%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed