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Red51
18476.3
271814.9
941014.6
Blue45
181012.6
234514.4
99886.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414210203050605145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2718
#24
14.91.0
16.415.4
Auto6.6
Teleop7.3
End1.0
red by 0.5
2345
#30
14.40.8
13.113.9
Auto7.3
Teleop6.8
End0.3
Second
9410
#26
14.61.0
19.518.5
Auto7.7
Teleop5.7
End1.2
red by 2.0
1810
#29
12.60.8
13.714.4
Auto7.8
Teleop4.7
End0.1
Third
1847
#12
6.31.0
5.24.2
Auto2.2
Teleop2.5
End1.6
blue by 0.5
9988
#36
6.81.3
6.78.0
Auto1.4
Teleop4.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed