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Red26
171021.4
24105.0
173027.4
Blue48
182518.3
44556.4
392823.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6464304050607080902648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1730
#15
27.42.5
32.830.2
Auto5.9
Teleop19.4
End2.1
red by 3.6
23.70.5
23.222.7
Auto10.7
Teleop11.2
End1.9
Second
1710
#27
21.42.5
24.922.3
Auto11.3
Teleop7.6
End2.6
red by 3.1
1825
#11
18.30.5
18.518.0
Auto8.1
Teleop8.5
End1.6
Third
2410
#41
5.02.5
6.54.0
Auto1.9
Teleop2.1
End1.0
blue by 1.4
4455
#19
6.40.5
9.28.7
Auto3.3
Teleop1.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
79%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
52%Ensemble oddsMissed39%Ensemble oddsMissed