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Red36
198622.8
178516.0
93168.4
Blue39
9377.5
17636.1
17759.1
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5921040801001201403639

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#14
22.80.9
22.721.8
Auto7.7
Teleop12.4
End2.7
red by 13.6
1775
#22
9.10.6
8.57.9
Auto5.2
Teleop3.8
End0.2
Second
1785
#20
16.00.9
18.717.8
Auto6.1
Teleop8.0
End1.9
red by 8.5
937
#31
7.50.6
6.86.2
Auto2.7
Teleop3.2
End1.6
Third
9316
#32
8.40.9
7.97.0
Auto4.5
Teleop3.7
End0.2
red by 2.3
1763
#39
6.10.6
8.17.4
Auto3.0
Teleop2.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned