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Red31
49598.9
193912.9
180211.6
Blue79
545417.5
110828.7
501323.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338002040601001201401603179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1939
#34
12.90.3
14.414.1
Auto3.9
Teleop7.2
End1.7
blue by 15.8
28.70.8
25.626.4
Auto11.6
Teleop15.1
End2.0
Second
1802
#18
11.60.3
10.19.8
Auto5.6
Teleop4.5
End1.5
blue by 11.4
5013
#10
23.00.8
23.324.1
Auto7.5
Teleop13.4
End2.1
Third
4959
#37
8.90.3
10.710.4
Auto5.9
Teleop2.5
End0.5
blue by 8.6
5454
#23
17.50.8
18.018.8
Auto8.8
Teleop8.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed74%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed