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Red102
176914.6
328423.4
235729.4
Blue63
198729.2
199712.9
198213.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions756005010015010263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.40.7
30.129.4
Auto11.4
Teleop13.3
End4.7
red by 0.2
29.20.2
29.229.0
Auto13.9
Teleop13.0
End2.3
Second
23.40.7
22.321.5
Auto7.5
Teleop15.0
End0.9
red by 9.9
13.50.2
13.112.9
Auto5.1
Teleop7.0
End1.3
Third
14.60.7
13.512.8
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End1.4
red by 1.7
1997
#16
12.90.2
13.913.7
Auto7.1
Teleop5.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
46%Ensemble oddsEarned23%Ensemble oddsEarned