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Red57
178516.0
17759.1
545417.5
Blue67
193912.9
59689.4
110828.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485902040801005767

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5454
#23
17.50.2
18.819.0
Auto8.8
Teleop8.2
End0.5
blue by 11.2
28.70.3
26.426.1
Auto11.6
Teleop15.1
End2.0
Second
1785
#20
16.00.2
17.818.1
Auto6.1
Teleop8.0
End1.9
red by 3.1
1939
#34
12.90.3
14.113.7
Auto3.9
Teleop7.2
End1.7
Third
1775
#22
9.10.2
7.98.1
Auto5.2
Teleop3.8
End0.2
blue by 0.2
5968
#40
9.40.3
11.611.3
Auto8.4
Teleop-0.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned