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Red81
199712.9
234514.4
512620.0
Blue68
93523.9
49598.9
198729.2
25%Model gave it75%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions487502040601001201401608168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.00.3
19.119.4
Auto8.4
Teleop11.1
End0.5
blue by 9.2
29.20.8
29.028.2
Auto13.9
Teleop13.0
End2.3
Second
2345
#30
14.40.3
13.914.1
Auto7.3
Teleop6.8
End0.3
blue by 9.5
935
#28
23.90.8
25.324.5
Auto10.3
Teleop11.6
End2.0
Third
1997
#16
12.90.3
13.714.0
Auto7.1
Teleop5.1
End0.7
red by 4.0
4959
#37
8.90.8
10.49.6
Auto5.9
Teleop2.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned54%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned19%Ensemble oddsMissed