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Red43
24105.0
235729.4
198213.5
Blue60
198622.8
176416.7
180211.6
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515520304060704360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.40.2
29.429.2
Auto11.4
Teleop13.3
End4.7
red by 6.7
1986
#14
22.80.7
21.822.5
Auto7.7
Teleop12.4
End2.7
Second
13.50.2
12.912.7
Auto5.1
Teleop7.0
End1.3
blue by 3.2
1764
#25
16.70.7
17.718.4
Auto6.1
Teleop8.5
End2.0
Third
2410
#41
5.00.2
4.03.8
Auto1.9
Teleop2.1
End1.0
blue by 6.6
1802
#18
11.60.7
9.810.5
Auto5.6
Teleop4.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
45%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed