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Red30
181012.6
9377.5
271814.9
Blue39
955114.0
171021.4
44556.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394701002003004005003039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2718
#24
14.90.9
14.713.8
Auto6.6
Teleop7.3
End1.0
blue by 6.6
1710
#27
21.40.2
21.521.4
Auto11.3
Teleop7.6
End2.6
Second
1810
#29
12.60.9
13.612.7
Auto7.8
Teleop4.7
End0.1
blue by 1.4
9551
#17
14.00.2
13.613.4
Auto5.2
Teleop8.0
End0.8
Third
937
#31
7.50.9
8.47.5
Auto2.7
Teleop3.2
End1.6
red by 1.1
4455
#19
6.40.2
6.26.0
Auto3.3
Teleop1.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed