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Red20
193912.9
20012.6
941014.6
Blue76
509812.5
511913.7
110828.7
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions345502040801002076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9410
#26
14.60.9
16.015.1
Auto7.7
Teleop5.7
End1.2
blue by 14.1
28.71.2
26.127.3
Auto11.6
Teleop15.1
End2.0
Second
1939
#34
12.90.9
13.712.9
Auto3.9
Teleop7.2
End1.7
blue by 0.8
5119
#21
13.71.2
12.213.5
Auto6.3
Teleop5.9
End1.5
Third
2001
#42
2.60.9
3.52.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.0
End0.7
blue by 9.8
5098
#33
12.51.2
9.310.5
Auto3.3
Teleop8.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed56%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed