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Red36
199712.9
173027.4
49598.9
Blue54
178516.0
642429.3
93523.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5384020401001201401603654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1730
#15
27.41.0
27.726.7
Auto5.9
Teleop19.4
End2.1
blue by 1.9
29.31.2
29.428.2
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End3.1
Second
1997
#16
12.91.0
14.012.9
Auto7.1
Teleop5.1
End0.7
blue by 11.0
935
#28
23.91.2
24.523.3
Auto10.3
Teleop11.6
End2.0
Third
4959
#37
8.91.0
9.68.6
Auto5.9
Teleop2.5
End0.5
blue by 7.1
1785
#20
16.01.2
18.116.9
Auto6.1
Teleop8.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsMissed74%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed40%Ensemble oddsMissed