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Red67
176914.6
501323.0
392823.7
Blue59
580126.3
234514.4
17759.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67510204060801001201401606759

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.70.2
21.822.0
Auto10.7
Teleop11.2
End1.9
blue by 2.6
5801
#13
26.30.4
26.126.5
Auto7.9
Teleop17.2
End1.2
Second
5013
#10
23.00.2
23.924.1
Auto7.5
Teleop13.4
End2.1
red by 8.6
2345
#30
14.40.4
14.114.5
Auto7.3
Teleop6.8
End0.3
Third
14.60.2
13.313.5
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End1.4
red by 5.5
1775
#22
9.10.4
8.18.5
Auto5.2
Teleop3.8
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsEarned26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
38%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed