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Red32
59689.4
198622.8
99886.8
Blue78
512620.0
198213.5
182518.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4557020801001203278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#14
22.80.6
22.521.9
Auto7.7
Teleop12.4
End2.7
red by 2.7
20.00.2
19.419.6
Auto8.4
Teleop11.1
End0.5
Second
5968
#40
9.40.6
11.310.6
Auto8.4
Teleop-0.1
End1.1
blue by 8.9
1825
#11
18.30.2
18.118.3
Auto8.1
Teleop8.5
End1.6
Third
9988
#36
6.81.1
7.76.6
Auto1.4
Teleop4.5
End1.0
blue by 6.7
13.50.2
12.712.9
Auto5.1
Teleop7.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed