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Red82
180211.6
18476.3
198729.2
Blue42
17636.1
882516.2
176416.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484630406070808242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.21.1
28.229.4
Auto13.9
Teleop13.0
End2.3
red by 12.5
1764
#25
16.70.5
18.417.9
Auto6.1
Teleop8.5
End2.0
Second
1802
#18
11.61.1
10.511.7
Auto5.6
Teleop4.5
End1.5
blue by 4.6
8825
#38
16.20.5
16.916.4
Auto5.5
Teleop9.4
End1.3
Third
1847
#12
6.31.1
4.25.4
Auto2.2
Teleop2.5
End1.6
red by 0.2
1763
#39
6.10.5
6.76.3
Auto3.0
Teleop2.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsEarned17%Ensemble oddsMissed