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Red31
511913.7
199712.9
181012.6
Blue77
180211.6
93168.4
182518.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5841020801001201401603177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5119
#21
13.71.5
19.618.2
Auto6.3
Teleop5.9
End1.5
blue by 4.6
1825
#11
18.31.1
19.320.4
Auto8.1
Teleop8.5
End1.6
Second
1997
#16
12.91.5
15.814.4
Auto7.1
Teleop5.1
End0.7
red by 1.3
1802
#18
11.61.1
10.511.6
Auto5.6
Teleop4.5
End1.5
Third
1810
#29
12.61.5
15.413.9
Auto7.8
Teleop4.7
End0.1
red by 4.2
9316
#32
8.41.1
9.110.2
Auto4.5
Teleop3.7
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned