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Red67
955114.0
271814.9
328423.4
Blue32
509812.5
49598.9
24105.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5820040801001206732

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.6
21.321.9
Auto7.5
Teleop15.0
End0.9
red by 10.9
5098
#33
12.50.3
10.510.8
Auto3.3
Teleop8.7
End0.5
Second
2718
#24
14.90.6
13.814.4
Auto6.6
Teleop7.3
End1.0
red by 6.0
4959
#37
8.90.3
8.68.9
Auto5.9
Teleop2.5
End0.5
Third
9551
#17
14.00.6
13.414.0
Auto5.2
Teleop8.0
End0.8
red by 9.0
2410
#41
5.00.3
3.84.0
Auto1.9
Teleop2.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed