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Red35
93168.4
511913.7
234514.4
Blue85
198622.8
198213.5
173027.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions347302060801001201403585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2345
#30
14.40.0
14.514.5
Auto7.3
Teleop6.8
End0.3
blue by 13.0
1730
#15
27.40.8
26.727.5
Auto5.9
Teleop19.4
End2.1
Second
5119
#21
13.70.0
13.513.4
Auto6.3
Teleop5.9
End1.5
blue by 9.1
1986
#14
22.80.8
21.922.7
Auto7.7
Teleop12.4
End2.7
Third
9316
#32
8.40.0
7.57.4
Auto4.5
Teleop3.7
End0.2
blue by 5.1
13.50.8
12.913.6
Auto5.1
Teleop7.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed63%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsEarned