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Red53
173027.4
18476.3
941014.6
Blue66
110828.7
509812.5
176914.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5359102030407080905366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1730
#15
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto5.9
Teleop19.4
End2.1
blue by 1.3
28.70.2
27.627.8
Auto11.6
Teleop15.1
End2.0
Second
9410
#26
14.60.0
14.714.7
Auto7.7
Teleop5.7
End1.2
Level
14.60.2
14.014.2
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End1.4
Third
1847
#12
6.30.0
6.46.4
Auto2.2
Teleop2.5
End1.6
blue by 6.2
5098
#33
12.50.2
11.311.6
Auto3.3
Teleop8.7
End0.5