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Red52
17759.1
392823.7
235729.4
Blue92
198622.8
171021.4
501323.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6776020401001201401605292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.40.2
29.329.1
Auto11.4
Teleop13.3
End4.7
red by 6.5
5013
#10
23.00.3
23.223.5
Auto7.5
Teleop13.4
End2.1
Second
23.70.2
23.623.4
Auto10.7
Teleop11.2
End1.9
red by 1.0
1986
#14
22.80.3
23.023.3
Auto7.7
Teleop12.4
End2.7
Third
1775
#22
9.10.2
9.08.8
Auto5.2
Teleop3.8
End0.2
blue by 12.3
1710
#27
21.40.3
21.722.0
Auto11.3
Teleop7.6
End2.6