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Red38
346116.6
206722.1
672312.9
Blue58
22818.4
15517.7
769417.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495601001502002503858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.11.9
16.814.9
Auto9.4
Teleop11.1
End1.7
red by 3.7
228
#16
18.40.1
15.415.3
Auto5.0
Teleop13.1
End0.3
Second
3461
#15
16.61.9
17.916.0
Auto6.4
Teleop9.0
End1.2
blue by 1.1
155
#12
17.70.2
19.118.9
Auto7.1
Teleop8.7
End1.9
Third
6723
#30
12.91.9
10.38.4
Auto6.0
Teleop5.6
End1.3
blue by 4.3
17.20.1
15.315.2
Auto6.3
Teleop8.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed