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Red50
365414.6
23025.7
457216.9
Blue54
17637.0
919315.0
83914.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585940507080905054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#13
25.70.5
27.026.5
Auto11.4
Teleop13.2
End1.1
blue by 11.3
176
#1
37.00.1
29.028.9
Auto12.3
Teleop22.9
End1.8
Second
4572
#28
16.90.3
13.613.3
Auto5.2
Teleop10.1
End1.7
red by 2.0
9193
#26
15.00.1
13.913.8
Auto7.1
Teleop7.2
End0.7
Third
3654
#21
14.60.5
11.911.4
Auto9.2
Teleop4.0
End1.4
Level
839
#20
14.60.1
10.110.0
Auto4.3
Teleop9.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed