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Red44
634621.0
17814.2
78699.0
Blue78
206414.9
99925.1
55819.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4244405060704478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6346
#23
21.00.4
19.720.1
Auto6.1
Teleop13.6
End1.3
blue by 4.1
999
#2
25.13.5
16.019.6
Auto8.7
Teleop15.2
End1.2
Second
178
#29
14.20.6
9.510.1
Auto6.2
Teleop6.7
End1.3
blue by 5.4
558
#19
19.63.5
13.717.2
Auto5.5
Teleop11.2
End2.9
Third
7869
#27
9.00.4
9.09.4
Auto3.3
Teleop4.4
End1.3
blue by 5.9
2064
#18
14.92.1
9.611.7
Auto6.3
Teleop7.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed