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Red38
216816.5
457216.9
23713.0
Blue51
109913.9
672312.9
71620.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483902060801001203851

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4572
#28
16.90.7
13.312.6
Auto5.2
Teleop10.1
End1.7
blue by 3.9
716
#11
20.91.6
17.719.3
Auto8.7
Teleop10.9
End1.3
Second
2168
#10
16.51.2
14.713.5
Auto3.5
Teleop12.5
End0.5
red by 2.6
1099
#24
13.91.6
10.512.1
Auto5.1
Teleop6.6
End2.2
Third
237
#25
13.01.2
14.212.9
Auto4.9
Teleop7.3
End0.8
red by 0.1
6723
#30
12.91.6
8.410.0
Auto6.0
Teleop5.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed